Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.190748 0.221520 0.255713 0.296535 0.343965 0.397364 0.462085
2025-04-27 0.145413 0.187153 0.238511 0.306410 0.393937 0.503145 0.650053
2025-05-04 0.121278 0.167482 0.228449 0.314910 0.434637 0.595001 0.826864
2025-05-11 0.103023 0.150663 0.217207 0.317134 0.463840 0.672075 0.991499
2025-05-18 0.088111 0.135386 0.204745 0.314182 0.483193 0.735451 1.142794
2025-05-25 0.074936 0.120321 0.189881 0.304588 0.489921 0.779242 1.268401
2025-06-01 0.068153 0.113940 0.186990 0.312440 0.523733 0.867505 1.473894
2025-06-08 0.061206 0.106205 0.180702 0.313519 0.545974 0.938913 1.659762
2025-06-15 0.056142 0.100868 0.177523 0.319070 0.575885 1.025856 1.882339
2025-06-22 0.049854 0.092530 0.168074 0.312221 0.582717 1.072842 2.038564
2025-06-29 0.045044 0.086223 0.161388 0.309359 0.596069 1.132450 2.224704
2025-07-06 0.041489 0.081794 0.157556 0.311220 0.618238 1.210472 2.455171
2025-07-13 0.039692 0.080620 0.159873 0.325553 0.667037 1.346540 2.821213
2025-07-20 0.037641 0.078703 0.160543 0.336738 0.711058 1.478779 3.197844
2025-07-27 0.035593 0.076518 0.160374 0.346082 0.752255 1.609884 3.588949
2025-08-03 0.033096 0.073067 0.157168 0.348529 0.778898 1.713323 3.932832
2025-08-10 0.030369 0.068781 0.151682 0.345282 0.792513 1.789951 4.225978
2025-08-17 0.027355 0.063488 0.143398 0.334726 0.788233 1.826074 4.429509
2025-08-24 0.026087 0.062033 0.143475 0.343365 0.829434 1.970655 4.910644
2025-08-31 0.024403 0.059398 0.140555 0.344552 0.852978 2.076530 5.310601
2025-09-07 0.023188 0.057744 0.139724 0.350659 0.889201 2.216942 5.815839
2025-09-14 0.021249 0.054081 0.133684 0.343124 0.890329 2.271015 6.104753
2025-09-21 0.019742 0.051329 0.129566 0.339975 0.902304 2.353788 6.480815